What polls can tell us about the first days of Trump’s second term: from the political bureau

Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.

Happy Monday, and congratulations to all fans of the Eagles. Three weeks after Donald Trump’s second term, we are starting to get the first survey round that shows what the American public does so far. Ben Kamisar breaks down the most notable data points. In addition, a judge accuses the administration of challenging an order of the court while the legal fighting on the agenda of Trump increases.

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– Adam Wollner

What polls can tell us about the first days of Trump’s second term

By Ben Kamisar

Interlation of the first weeks of a new administration can be difficult for a whole series of reasons. The short version: Things evolve quickly and voters can take their time to treat changes since the election.

But some things are distinguished from the first surveys on President Donald Trump’s second term. Most show that his position has improved slightly compared to the moment when he came into office for the first time in 2017, and there is a large popular agreement between the public with some of his main proposals.

However, there are real warning signs on the mandate that Trump claims in the midst of a deeply divided electorate, show it the investigations, as well as the risk of losing sight of one of the main problems that brought him back At the White House: the frustration of the increase in prices.

Trump ballot: Trump’s approval rating at the moment is The 40s And 1950s In different polls, overall a few ticks higher than at the beginning of 2017. (We Given a similar model In the survey released just before and when Trump took up his duties.)

Unsurprisingly, these figures are supplied mainly by overwhelming partisan differences and a deep split between independent voters. But A recent study by Pew Research Center shows Republicans are more confident with Trump than in 2017 on questions such as its mental condition and its ability to act ethically and choose good advisers.

The survey largely shows the support of some of Trump’s main priorities. Majorities through several polls say they support generalized deportations (59% in a recent CBS News / Yougov Poll). And Pre-initiation survey has found support for the prioritization of domestic problems on international women and the ban on transgender women from practicing female sports.

The downside for Trump: But where Trump pushed his problem program towards the right flank of his party, he loses his support.

His decision to forgive those who have been found guilty of violent crimes linked to January 6, 2021, the attack on the American Capitol is clearly unpopular, because the polls of Bench And The Economist / Yougov to show. The Yougov Survey with CBS and The Economist found that the prices offered by Trump on Mexico and Canada are also unpopular, and that under the quarter of those questioned want billionaire Elon Musk to have a lot of influence on the Trump administration .

And while Trump said “Meet the press” in December,, “I won on the border and won races,” 66% of Americans said in the CBS News / Yougov survey according to which the administration does not focus sufficiently on the “drop in prices of goods and services”, despite the economy which exceeds the list of the most urgent problems in a Recent survey of Quinnipiac University. And 51% of Americans in the CBS News / Yougov survey say that Trump policies will increase the prices of the grocery store, while only 28% think they will lower prices.

Conclusion: All this reminds us that despite Trump claiming a radical mandate after an election that put the Republicans to control control of Washington, we still live in the same divided country as we were before the ballot day. When Pew asked the Americans if Trump makes the government better or worse, 41% said better, 42% said worse – and a decisive little intermediate part was not sure of the way to look.

The judge accuses Trump’s administration of challenging a court order

The legal battle on President Donald Trump’s agenda continues to progress: Chloé Atkins, Fallon Gallagher and Dareh Gregorian Report That a federal judge of Rhode Island revealed that the administration had violated its order to arrest a federal frost -funding and ordered the government to “immediately restore frozen funding”.

As Ken Dilanian Note, this is the first time since the second inauguration of Trump that a federal judge has accused his administration of challenging a court order.

US district judge John J. McConnell made the order after the complainants in the case, a coalition of 22 states, said the government had not restored funding in several programs despite its order of January 31 . Budgetary directive which had caused chaos and confusion across the country.

The lawyers of the Ministry of Justice argued in a legal file that they did not think that the order covered part of the frozen funding and that some of the funding in question are in progress to ensure that it is “appropriate ».

“The accused now argue that they are simply trying to eliminate fraud. But the gels in force were now the result of the large categorical order, and not a specific conclusion of possible fraud, ”wrote McConnell. “The vast categorical and radical frost of federal funds is, like the judge the court, probably unconstitutional and has caused and continues to harm the country’s large part of this country.”

Unexplored waters: The order comes after the vice-president JD Vance suggested during the weekend That the judges do not have jurisdiction about Trump’s “legitimate power”. This has led some legal experts to warn that the United States could head towards a “constitutional crisis” or a “rupture of the system”, Alexandra Marquez reports.

More legal fights: A federal judge in Boston continued his break of the Trump administration’s unprecedented plan to have millions of federal workers resign.

Prosecutors General of 22 States has filed a legal action Against the administration’s decision to reduce the funding of research by limiting the way in which it pays universities and research institutes for “indirect costs”.

And a union filed two prosecution Against the Director of Management of Management and Budget Russell Vought, disputing his role as acting director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and to ask a judge to block access from the Ministry of Employee Information.

That knowing others of the Trump presidency today

• Trump said he would announce a 25% coverage rate On steel and aluminum imports on Monday, as well as reciprocal rates later in the week.
• Trump said In an interview with Fox News That the Palestinians would not be authorized to return to the Gaza Strip as part of its plan for the United States to appropriate the territory.
• Trump is be to forgive The former governor of Illinois, Rod Blagojevich, who had served eight years in prison for accusations coming from his efforts to sell the former headquarters of the Senate of Barack Obama. Asset communal Pintence of 14 years of Blagojevich in 2020.
• The Kremlin said American-Russia relations were on the brink of collapse And refused to confirm whether Russian President Vladimir Putin had spoken with Trump.
• Trump said he had ordered the Treasury Department of Stop passing new onescalling for the cost of producing coins of a central “gaspling”.

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It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Bridget Bowman.

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