For the first time since 2021, the Ipsos survey now shows the federal Liberal party with a slight advance on the Conservative.
The survey, carried out exclusively for Global News by Ipsos Public affairs, shows that if a federal election should take place tomorrow, Liberal would receive 38% of the support for voters decided compared to 36% of the Conservatives, overthrowing what was a 26 -point lead for the Conservatives barely six weeks ago.
According to the survey, carried out between February 21 and 24 from a sample of 1,000 Canadians of age vote, the Liberals increased their number of 10 points compared to the last Ipsos survey Released earlier this month.
The survey is considered precise in the 3.8 percentage points, so the figures are always in the margin of error.
But the results echo several recent surveys indicating that the liberals fill the gap between the conservatives in the seven weeks who followed Prime Minister Justin Trudeau who announced his resignation and, like the country houses to damage the American prices that should come into force next week.
The conservatives, on the other hand, experienced a decrease of five points in the support of decided voters, the NDP and the Quebec block also seeing drops, falling respectively to 12% and six percent.
“Liberal leadership is changing, Justin Trudeau has left and there will be a new leader of the Liberal Party and I think people are interested in seeing who will be,” said Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs.
“The second thing is that the southern threat of the border has made us plead in matters of plea everything that the liberals have done in the past 10 years in the here and now, which deals with the United States.”
Federal liberals have not seen higher figures than the conservatives of the Ipsos survey since 2021.
Ipsos’ new public affairs survey for Global News shows that the Liberals have led conservatives for the first time in years, although the percentage is in the margin of error.
Global News
The Ipsos survey in early February had shown that stone conservatives Hairy with support of 41% among the decided voters, while the Liberals were seated at 28%.
It was a boost of Numbers in early JanuaryWhen the Liberals did not sit at only 20% – an almost historic hollow at only one point of the lowest of all time when the party was decimated under Michael Igniff during the 2011 campaign.
Bricker says that the largest survey movement has been observed in Center de Canada, namely Quebec and Ontario, but Atlantic Canada has also led to liberal support.
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“It is mainly everywhere in the east of the border of Ontario-Manitoba which seems to look more at the Liberals, the conservatives always seem rather well in western Canada,” said Briker.
During the last year, Hairyvre and the Conservatives have supervised the next federal elections as including the feelings of voters about the carbon price.
But the two hopes of the most eminent liberal leadership, former central banker Mark Carney and former Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland, have moved away from the carbon carbon price of the liberals.
And Trump, with his threat continues to harm Canadian export prices, now represents a major economic danger both for individual workers and the economy largely.
In the middle of this environment, Hairyvre and the Conservatives tried to change their messages, trying to communicate a new message from “Canada first” to overthrow their perspectives.
But while the party gives a new message, Bricker says that the instability caused by the prices offered by Trump, as well as the new attention to the liberals due to the leadership race means that the conservatives will have to work harder to pass Their message to stop the liberal resurrection.
“They will have to find a way to get through all of this and give their message to the Canadians or it will simply continue as it is,” said Bricher.
With these prices which are still looming, and the president noting on Monday that they planned to move forward with the date of March 4, the Ipsos survey shows that the urgency of an immediate federal election has also increased .
A majority, 86%, of Canadians, said that they immediately wanted a federal election, Canada has a Prime Minister and a Government with a strong term to cope with Trump’s prices.
These are some of the conclusions of an Ipsos survey carried out between February 21 and 24, 2025, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 1,000 Canadians aged 18 and over was interviewed online. Quotas and weighting have been used to ensure that the composition of the sample reflects that of the Canadian population according to the census parameters. The accuracy of Ipsos online surveys is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the survey is precise at ± 3.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, that all 18 -year -old Canadians had been interviewed. The credibility interval will be wider among the sub-assemblies of the population. All sample surveys and surveys can be subject to other sources of error, including, but without limiting itself, a coverage error and a measurement error.
–With Saba Aziz files from Global News and Alex Boutillier
& Copy 2025 Global News, A Division of Corus Entertainment Inc.