There have been five complete surveys on public opinion in the past two weeks which are trying to assess the status of President Donald Trump with the public at the end of his first hundred days. The polls are The New York Times / Siena,, The Washington Post /Ipsos,, CBS News / Yougov,, NPR/HusbandAnd The Economist/ Yougov. Some of the results are not surprising: Trump is in trouble with the public, but the Democrats too. But nestled in the Crosstabs are some more remarkable conclusions: Trump loses ground among groups which have been faithfully republican, but the Democrats continue to lose ground among the groups on which they had relied.
On the basis of the 60 questions asked by The Washington Post Among ten different demographic and ideological categories, Trump’s greatest strength is among the categories overlapping conservatives and white evangelical Protestants. A majority of these two groups (and no other) thought that Trump’s economic plans “would put the United States on a highest long-term basis”. They alone favored the closure of the Ministry of Education. Fifty-eight percent of the Conservatives and half of the white evangelicals ended the citizenship of the droit of birth, while 49% of the conservatives and 45% of the White Protestant evangelicals think that Trump’s prices will have a “Positive” effect on inflation.
There were two other groups of which Trump usually received an enthusiastic support that still seems on board. The majority of men without university degrees and rural voters were the only other groups who thought that “Trump is in contact with most people in the United States”. But they were not willing to buy everything the president sold. At 60 to 38%, white men without college diplomas thought that Trump’s pricing strategy would increase rather than stimulating inflation. Only the pluralities of rural residents and men without university degrees thought that Trump’s plans “would put the United States on a higher long-term basis”.
The best way to choose the biggest detractors of Trump is to find out who is even opposed to the White House policies which are generally popular. THE New York Times The investigation revealed that 52 percent of voters return Trump expelling illegal immigrants, but in Washington Post Survey, 60% or more of the liberals, young people, blacks, Hispanics, people holding third cycle diplomas and city dwellers disapprove of Trump’s immigration policies. The same groups also disapprove of 60% or more from Trump’s overall performance and its closure of federal agencies, and rejects the idea that he is looking for the interests of “average Americans”. These results are consistent with the other polls with two qualifications. Hispanics and young people are not entirely at 60% of Trump’s policies in several of the polls, but in a few percentage points.
During the 2024 elections, Trump obtained support from young people, but this support seems to have dissipated. Of all age groups, young people (18-29) are the most disapproving and by the vast majority of the management of the presidency by Trump; according to the New York Times Survey, they have the least favorable vision of him, they think that he went “too far” to make changes to the country’s political and economic system, and they think that these changes are “bad for the country”.
White voters, disaggregated by sex and education, the most opposite to Trump are women educated by the university. Since 1988, the majority of educated university women have supported the candidate for the Democratic presidential election, but the recent surveys suggest that they reach new heights in their hostility towards a republican president. Among the whites, they are the only groups to disapprove of Trump’s policies on the reduction of illegal immigration and to say that Trump’s attempt to eliminate diversity, equity and inclusion programs went “too far”. In the NPR survey, 65% give Trump an “F” on the management of the economy. (On the other hand, 51% of men trained by the university and 30% of men without diplomas give Trump an “F.”) Sixty-nine percent of white women formed by the university disapprove of its management of foreign policy.
There are two groups that have supported Trump in the past which seems to have criticized his second administration. The majority of the elderly (aged 65 and over) supported candidates for the Democratic presidential election in 1992, 1996 and 2000, but after this election, the elderly supported the Republican candidate every four years. In the last elections, Trump bordered Kamala Harris among this demography, from 51 to 47%.
In recent surveys, only young people exceeded the elderly in their aversion to Trump. The elderly “disapprove of” disapprove “the way in which Trump” manages his work as president “(Economist)); They believe that Trump “completely demolishes the system” (New York Times)); They “don’t like” Trump “a lot” (Economist)); They are “very worried” that Trump reduces the size and role of government in American society (Washington Post)); They believe that Trump brings “major changes to the functioning of the American government” and that these changes are “for the worst” (CBS). They love its policies on immigration, but not on the economy or on foreign policy.
“These polls suggest that Trump’s electoral majority can evaporate.”
The other group that can turn on Trump is white women without university degrees. In 2024, Trump won these voters by a resounding 62 to 37%, but unlike their male counterparts, they do not seem to be in line with his administration. A majority fears that Trump will make “too much” to reduce the size and role of the federal government. A plurality says that the programs of diversity, equity and inclusion “help level the rules of the game for people who have been refused equal opportunities” (Washington Post). They are divided from 47 to 47 on the approval of his administration, with 41% “strongly” disapproving. And they disapprove of its management of the economy, prices and foreign policy (NPR).
These polls suggest that Trump’s electoral majority can evaporate. He could not have won in 2024 if he were to count mainly on the white evangelicals, the self-identified conservatives and the white men of the working class. His only policies that generally respect the approval of voters are his attempts to discourage illegal immigration. Some, such as reducing medical research financing, are opposed to all different voting groups, including republicans and self-identified curators.
The only point of consolation to Trump supporters in these a hundred day surveys is that voters also have an opinion on the Democrats. Even the most critical groups towards Trump are also unhappy with Democrats. At 70 to 29%, white women holding a university degree say that Democrats are “disconnected from the concerns of most people”. Young people say that Democrats are disconnected from 72 to 28% and that Hispanics from 59 to 41% (Washington Post). Sixty-five percent of the elderly have an unfavorable vision of the Democratic Party. (On the other hand, only 55% have an unfavorable vision of the Republican Party.) Hispanics have only a favorable opinion from 48 to 43% (Economist). According to the Spring Harvard Youth SurveyThe proportion of young people who approve the Democrats at Congress increased from 42% in 2017 to 23% today. Democrats are ahead of a thin, three percentage points in the New York Times Party candidate survey would obtain a vote from the respondent.
These results are very similar to those in April 2017, at the start of Trump’s first term. Trump would have been expected, who won a popular majority this time, and whose approval notes were initially higher than they were in his first mandate, for having known better survey notes. But Trump wasted his initial popularity by carrying out policies that mainly appeal to his most fervent supporters or who reflect his own private grievances. Trump’s lack of popularity suggests, even at 18 months, that Democrats have a good chance of winning the House of Representatives in November 2026, as they did in November 2018.
But there is no indication of these surveys according to which the Democrats corrected the ship of the last elections. It is likely that the elections in the United States will continue to be decided by which party can convince the electorate to focus on the harm, the incompetence and unpopular policies of his opponents and to ignore his. It was the secret of Trump’s success in 2016 and 2024 and the success of the Democrats in 2018, 2020 and 2022. The predominance of this “lesser” policy manifests itself by the growing alienation of the two parties and in the growing number of voters who identify themselves as independents. In the last of Gallup investigation Political identification, the two parties were blocked at 28% and the self -employed had increased to 43%.
Of course, political scientists will tell you that most self -employed people are looking at democrats or republicans. It is true, but their choice to qualify as “self -employed” reflects an increasing disillusionment with parties and politics. This, with the ability of each party to cancel what the other has tried to accomplish, led to political stagnation and decline. Overall, these polls suggest that American policy will remain a partisan car in the predictable future.