Last week, The Washington Post reported The fact that Donald Trump was about to announce a reorganization of the American postal service by decree, dismissing the Council of Postal Governors and moving the almost independent agency of the Trade Department. The Liberals were indignant and some were upset that Joe Biden could not even dismiss the general post office Louis Dejoy. But everyone has exceeded a fact: the very idea is ridiculous.
In his previous discussions on USPS, Trump had spoken of privatize itDo not bring it back further into the federal government. Only Congress, however, can reorganize an agency that law. Unlike USAID, the impact of the USPS tremor would be immediately felt by all Americans with a mailbox, a group that gives postal service it Second highest approval notes of any federal agency. And then there is this small point: by law, postal service is generally exempt from decrees.
The White House Turned the story almost immediatelysaying that there was no current decree. When Trump was questioned about it, he entered his usual bullshit mode On something where he has no real plan: he “thought of doing this” and “looked at him”.
It is an administration that has established a constant consolidation standard of power and punishment of enemies. A month later, the postal service test ball and quick cleaning show that it lacked ideas. But the real question about Trump’s second term has always been whether he was intimidating the country in an effective monarchy, or would prey the laws of political gravity.
I take an expert risk by saying that we now have this answer, after a month in power: Trump cooked.
His failure followed the usual management of political overcoming. The good dissidents of the political opposition, America of companies or its own coalition suddenly did not take up the challenge. It started from bottom to top, because the governed gradually but have definitively withdrawn their consent, giving space to those we call “leaders” to distance themselves.
This does not mean that the three and eleven months following will be a garden of land delights. Terrible things will happen. Good people will be persecuted and bad people raised almost every day for the next 1,400. But when Trump is shamefully released from Washington in 2029, I am much more inclined to believe that we will have a government to come back.
The thing about populism is You must be popular. As you lose contact with the public atmosphere, you lose the ability to define your program without friction. I Written on Valentine’s Day On the big sign of warning in the feeling of consumers, the expectations of not anchored inflation that maintain reset higher. Trump has established himself as the only person in the government who counts, so each national problem falls on his head. Since he has done nothing to answer these inflation problems, voters are already starting to blame.
Four surveys showed measurable drops in its approval rating in the last week, putting it in the lowest position for a president a month after an inauguration since … Donald Trump, in 2017. A Reuters survey has found the percentage of the public thinking that the country is on the wrong track Pink ten points in a monthAnd only 32% approved Trump on inflation. Its notes of economic approval are lower than at any time in his first mandate.
When each title of Washington concerns Elon Musk (which is also increasingly unpopular) to dismiss workers and dismantle agencies and continue Dei programs and take control of computer systems for obscure reasons, it does not It is not surprising that people see the president as focused on bad questions. Americans believe Trump exceeded his authorityBut if they saw lower prices accordingly, they would probably not care, unfortunately. Disconnection is more important than anarchy.
When each title of Washington concerns Elon Musk, it is not surprising that people see the president as focused on bad questions.
But while the economy derives towards a combination of higher unemployment and higher inflation for the last time in the presidency of the late Jimmy Carter, Trump will have more trouble sweeping and taking power. A town hall run by representative Rich McCormick (R-GA) last week, in a district that opted for Trump 60-38, was a disasterWith angry voters demanding to defend them and not let Trump control the federal budget and reduce services for the needy. Other deep red districts have experienced a similar dynamic. In the east of the rural regions of Oregon, in a town hall held by the representative Cliff Bentz (R-OR) in a county which was devoted to 68% for Trump, the crowd screened“Tax Elon”, “Tax the rich”, “tax the rich” and “tax the billionaires”. In Oklahoma, voters required This representative Kevin Hern (R-OK), who won November 60-34, put Musk under oath. In Wisconsin, representative Glenn Grothman (R-WI) won a similar number; In a town hall near Oshkosh, he face to face a parade of hoots and cries, as did compatriot Wisconsinite The representative Scott Fitzgerald (R-WI).
For weeks, we have seen the Republicans actually falling the dumb against the actions of the president. All it was needed was a drop in support for statements and angry town halls to return this. Here is the representative Troy Balderson (R-OH) who calls Trump’s decrees “uncontrollableAnd declaring that the congress must decide whether federal agencies live or die. His district went Trump, 66-33. Here is the first year representative Rob Bresnahan (R-P-PA) adage He will never take away the advantages on which his neighbors count, including Medicaid. Here is the Mike Simpson representative of Idaho, of all places, oppose mass shot This struck the National Park Service fairly strong.
Senator Thom Tillis (R-NNC) Publicly spoken on the Senate soil And was one of several Republicans who took shots on Trump’s claims that Ukraine is the aggressor of his war with Russia. This type of public repudiation is new and entirely due to the collapse of Trump. Senator Susan Collins (R-me) coming out of her forehead and expressing her concern is a perennial, but saying that Trump violated the Constitution By engaging in the firing, it is something new for her. Even Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) had to reluctantly admit Whether in Congress to sanction all Doge’s expense reductions, even if he loved what they were doing.
Everything that is at the top of the usual tensions within the hierarchies of the executive branches, in particular with regard to Musk, which is Officials of the angry cabinet And Trump’s inner circle. Republican legislators are Concentrate on musk Also, which would allow Trump to respond more easily to a makeshift tour by dropping it. But Trump is the one who made all the promises to improve the life of voters, and he would never bind.
The biggest example of the mood change in the country can occur in Paramount (which has CBS). It seemed almost certain a month ago that the studio would follow what Disney, Facebook and X did by adjusting frivolous proceedings with Trump. Paramount is about a 60 minutes The interview with Kamala Harris who claims absurdly claimed was a deceptive modified to try to cost him the elections. The studio finalizes a sale in Skydance and needs federal approval, which was the reason why it would be satisfied with a gift to the president. But these regulations appear far now, and paramount ridiculedIncluding by continuing a trial where he could obtain personal financial information from Trump in discovery. It does not happen if Trump rises high among the public; A diminished figure is easier to reprimand.
None of this will allow federal regulators to enforce crime in white collar. We are in an orgy of deregulation, and the tax reduction fight will probably work well for billionaires, with at least some vulnerable people by paying the price. And in foreign policy, the presidents have more free hands. To say that Trump’s coup has not changed this resolutely weak perspective.
But that means that Trump seizes the structures of democracy and forcing the political system to achieve his whims will not proceed as he did in the first weeks of his mandate. We are in the war of the trenches before the courts on these questions of executive power, and Trump will lose many otherwise most of them. He’s going to bob and weave, just like his team is doing now, using apartments And sleight of hand To continue spending or whatever he wants. It will just make the audience and its political enemies angry. And he needs public acceptance to achieve his radical objectives.
Nor is it a call to stand up, to relax, to be less vigilant. This is only an observation: the outcry has succeeded. It is impossible for Trump to maintain his coup. If people continue, they will succeed even more.