A Vancouver -based sounder says that some of the Federal Bastions of the NDP NDP could be in danger if the current trends take place throughout the day of the ballot.
Mario Canseco, president of Research Co., said that her last survey had revealed the two largest parties in statistical equality in British Columbia, with 41% for the Liberals and 39 for the Conservatives. The NDP, he said, had flowed at 8%.
The same survey revealed that American-Canadian relations had progressed at the first issue for British Colombians (32%), and that they gave the liberal leader Mark Carney the advantage on the conservative leader Pierre Hairyvre to manage the economy (56% to 51% respectively).
“You have this one-two punch,” said Canseco.
“What you have is the basis of the NPD very concerned about what will happen with the country, by really examining a situation where Pierre Hairy could form the government and say to himself:” We could be better voted for for the Liberals and Mark Carney this time. “”
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If the trend is held, Canseco said that the leader of the NDP Jagmeet Singh, Burnaby Central, could potentially be at stake. In 2015, the last time the Federal Liberals increased in British Columbia, Kennedy Stewart won the previous version of driving for the NPD a little less than 550 votes.
Other districts of Metro Vancouver that new Democrats generally gain by major margins could also be vulnerable, added Canaseco.
“Even the seats in Vancouver which were once safe as Kingsway or East, with the figures we see at the moment, they could be in the hands of the Liberals,” he said.
At the national level, the Research Co. survey put the Liberals at 41% and the conservatives at 37%, the NPD following nine percent.
But Canseco warned that with more than a month in the campaign, these figures could easily change. He said that if a liberal victory was starting to be more certain, for example, it could bring back a less nervous NDP base to the party.
On Tuesday, Singh was on the campaign path, arguing that the deputies of the NPD must be well represented in Ottawa.
“People need us, they need new democrats. If you think we need someone to stop the greed of companies and companies increase grocery prices, vote the NPD,” Singh told Toronto.
The conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, meanwhile, was in Vaughan where he promised a conservative government would not make new major federal programs, including dental care, pharmacares or childcare services.
“We will protect these programs and person who has lost them,” said Hairyvre.
Liberal chief Mark Carney campaigned in Halifax on Tuesday, where he focused on American president Donald Trump, reaffirming plans to buy new submarines.
“We will invest so that we can protect every centimeter from our sovereign territory,” said Carney.
None of the main party leaders has organized a campaign event so far in British Columbia, which, with 43 districts, will send the third delegation of deputies in Ottawa.
Federal elections will take place on April 28.
The Research Co. survey was carried out online among 1,003 adult Canadians between March 23 and 24, statistically weighted by census figures. The margin of error – which measures the variability of the sample – is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
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