The Liberals continue to lead the Conservatives among the voters after the first week of federal election Campaign, a new survey suggests, but the two parties are linked to who will best manage what is considered the first problem: affordability and cost of living.
The last Ipsos The survey carried out exclusively for Global News shows that the liberals and the new leader of the Mark Carney party have continued to take momentum since the start of the elections last Sunday. The conservatives also gained ground, to the detriment of new Democrats and the Quebec Bloc.
The survey revealed that 44% of decided voters would vote for the Liberals, up two points of A survey carried out a week before the elections. The conservatives obtained support of 38%, also up two points, while the NDP fell from a nine percent point.
The Liberals now have a six -point lead on the conservatives of this survey, a drop from a point compared to the advance of seven points that they held during the survey on March 18.
The margin of error in the survey is 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, if all Canadians had been interviewed.
Twenty-four percent of Quebec voters said they would vote for Quebec Bloc, which resulted in five% nationally, down from a point compared to two weeks ago.
The Green Party notes support of two percent, while a percent chose the Popular Party of Canada, the latter down two points. Eight percent of the voters interviewed said they were still undecided.
Carney has expanded its advance on the conservative leader Pierre Hairy among the party leaders considered to be the best choice for the Prime Minister, 44% by choosing Carney against 33% for Hairyvre. The popularity of the NPD chief, Jagmeet Singh, fell four points to only 8%.
Among the voters interviewed, Carney has two -digit meters on Hairy on attributes such as being the best leader to resist US President Donald Trump, represent Canada on the world scene and manage a difficult economic period. The liberal chief is also considered the potential Prime Minister with the best temperament and maturity for work.
Hairy, on the other hand, “leads only on negative declarations,” found Ipsos – including being considered “having a hidden agenda”, as someone “who will say anything to be elected” and as “someone who is above their heads”.
On each of them, Hairy led Carney between 11 and 18 points.
Trump, American relations considered a first problem
Sunday’s results mark the third successive survey that found the Liberals at the top of the federal parties, overthrowing a survey deficit of several years to the conservatives of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Trudeau’s resignation in January and Carney’s election as a successor in early March have since strengthened the fortune of the Liberals.
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The same goes for the climbing of Trump’s attacks, which launched a trade war and has repeatedly threatened to make Canada the 51st American state.
These attacks have made relations with the United States a dominant campaign problem, with 30% of the voters interviewed by Ipsos saying that it was a major concern – putting it only behind the affordability and the cost of living at 36%.
While the liberals and the conservatives are linked as the party as the best to manage the question of affordability, the survey suggests that voters see the liberals massively as the best to manage American relations. The liberals beat the conservatives on the question of 40 points.
The American issue was in the lead among the 55 -year -old Canadians, a typically reliable voting group that also gravity to Carney, according to the ballot.
Hairyvre and the Conservatives saw their greatest favorites in the provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba Prairies provinces, while Liberals and Carney are ahead of the wealthy provinces of Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia, as well as the Atlantic Canada.
Despite the liberal change in fortune, the survey suggests that the voters remain separated if the party should obtain a fourth term in the government, although the number of those who want change is down.
Half of the respondents said it was time for a new game to take over – down eight points for two weeks ago – while 46% said the liberals deserved a re -election, up four points.
Voters were also divided on their global opinion on the liberal government, and half expressing disapproval.
The other problems of the highest elections identified in the survey were health care – which were chosen by 28%of voters – followed by housing (26%), the economy (23%), taxes (18%), immigration (14%), unemployment and jobs (13%) and interest rates and inflation (13%).
Liberals were considered the best suited party to treat health care, economy and unemployment. Voters have seen the curators as better equipped to manage housing, taxes, immigration and inflation.
The election will take place on April 28.
These are some of the conclusions of an Ipsos survey carried out between March 24 and 26, 2025, in the name of Global News. For this survey, a sample of n = 1,500 voters eligible in Canada aged 18 and over was interviewed. A sample of n = 1,000 Canadians aged 18 and over was interviewed online, via the Ipsos I-Say panel and non-panel sources, and respondents obtain a nominal incentive for their participation. A sample of n = 500 Canadians aged 18 and over was interviewed by telephone interviewers live by the fixed line and the mobile phone, using random numbering. Quotas and weighting were used to balance demographic data to ensure that the composition of the sample reflects that of the adult population according to census data and to provide results to approximate the universe of the sample. The accuracy of IPSOS surveys which include the non-probability sampling is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the survey is precise at ± 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, if all Canadians had been interviewed. The credibility interval will be wider among the sub-assemblies of the population. All sample surveys and surveys can be subject to other sources of error, including, but without limiting itself, a coverage error and a measurement error. Ipsos complies with the disclosure standards established by the CRIC, found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscil.ca/standards/
& Copy 2025 Global News, A Division of Corus Entertainment Inc.