GOP brought a blow in the battle for the Senate: from the Politics Office

Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.

In today’s edition, we decompose a key development in the Battle of 2026 for the majority of the Senate. In addition, the campaign season can still be in one way, but, as Ben Kamisar notes, the Trump administration spends massive money on the airwaves praising his efforts to repression of immigration.

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– Adam Wollner

GOP brought a blow in the battle for the Senate

The Republicans had a blow in their attempt to expand their majority in the Senate on Monday, the governor of Georgia Brian Kemp adopted a race against the best target of the party for defeat, the Democratic senator Jon Ossoff.

As Bridget Bowman and Sahil Kapur reportKemp was considered the main recruit of the GOP in Georgia, one of the two United States, the president of the States, Donald Trump, carried in 2024 with a seat of the Senate held by the Democrats which takes place in 2026. The other is Michigan, where Democratic Senator Gary Peters retires.

The background: Kemp has shown a rare capacity to use conservative and intermediary voters.

After Kemp opposed the efforts to cancel the results of the 2020 elections in Georgia, Trump supported former senator David lost in the elementary of GOP 2022. But Kemp easily defeated before winning the re -election of nearly 8 points on Stacey Abrams, only two years after Joe Biden became the first democrat to wear Georgia since a presidential election since a presidential election since a presidential election since a presidential election since 1992.

Plan B: We do not know what will be the next Kemp stages, because it is not able to re -election next year due to the limits of the mandate. But his decision to give up a race in the Senate will likely arouse a primary of the crowded and competitive GOP to face Ossoff.

Several members of the Georgia Congress Delegation – including Buddy Carter representatives, Rich McCormick, Mike Collins and Marjorie Taylor Greene – suggested that they would consider an offer if Kemp was not running.

Greene told NBC News last week that she weighed a race for the Senate. “I just have a lot of options open to me,” she said.

Among the other Republicans elected to the state level, the agriculture commissioner Tyler Harper and the insurance commissioner John King are also considered as potential candidates.

The card: In the end, the Georgia headquarters will probably be more important for Democrats as they try to eat in the majority 53-47 of the GOP. In addition to Michigan, Democrats also have open seats to defend in Minnesota and New Hampshire. And the party’s offensive opportunities are relatively limited, with Sensan Collins from Maine and Thom Tillis of North Carolina considered as the most vulnerable Republicans.

Learn more about Bridget and Sahil →

In the house: The representative Jan Schakowsky, d-ill., announced that she would not ask for re -election Next year after serving 14 mandates in the house. Kat Abughazaleh, a 26 -year -old Internet personality, had already entered the race for the safe Democratic headquarters of Schakowsky.

Kristi Noem is the face of the deportation advertising campaign of the Trump administration

By Ben Kamisar

The Ministry of Internal Security spends large dollars – nearly $ 21 million so far, according to the advertising follow -up company Adimpact – on an advertising campaign showing secretary Kristi Noem who praises President Donald Trump and illegally calling immigrants in America to “leave”.

It is a sum of money in accordance with a leading campaign on the state level could spend, according to Adimpact. In comparison, the liberal candidate Susan Crawford spent $ 28 million in advertisements while the conservative candidate Brad Schimel spent $ 15 million in the Wisconsin Supreme Court elections last month. In the elections of last year, the Pennsylvania Republican, Dave McCormick, spent $ 21 million in advertising in one of the most competitive Senate races on the battlefield map.

The vast majority of DHS spots present Noem speaking directly to the camera, praising Trump and warning: “If you are here illegally, we will find you and we will expel you. You will never come back. But if you go now, you can have the opportunity to come back. ”

The other variations include Noem exploding “weak politicians” for leaving “our wide open borders”, while others present its speaking in English with Spanish subtitles.

Other more targeted advertisements show that Noem detailed a list of “illegal foreigners captured due to the management of President Trump”. Some spots also have images of arrests and His visit to the Salvador El prison where the deported Venezuelans are detained.

The advertisements are largely intended for news ballots such as morning and nocturnal news emissions on the main broadcasting networks and the Spanish channels.

The federal government has spent Billions of taxpayers over the years On advertising campaigns, including on them to highlight government programs or encourage recruitment.

Healthcare.gov, The Federal Health Care Exchange, has benefited from tens of millions of dollars in advertising over the years, the Obama administration broadcasting advertisements to encourage registrations (including in red states). Biden administration also spent $ 50 million To note how the 2021 co -vored aid law has created new grants for health insurance.

But what is particularly notable in the new advertising campaign of the DHS, is how Noem, a former governor of southern Dakota, who, at 53, could have a long political career before her, is presented.

And soon, Noem will not be the sole manager of the Trump administration whose agency spends tens of millions of dollars to broadcast its message on the air. The Secretary of Health and Social Services, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is expected to launch his own public relations effort, According to a document obtained by NBC News This indicates that the campaign would include up to three ads per day on the main television networks.

Read related: Trump administration to pay $ 1,000 to undocumented immigrants who self-conformby Nicole Acevedo and Laura Strickler

📺 Icymi: Trump rejects concerns about prices and economic uncertainty during the interview with “ Meet the Press ”

President Donald Trump Sitting for a big interview With the moderator “meet the press” of NBC News, Kristen Welker, in his home in Mar-A-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, where he minimized the fears of his criticisms-potential damage to a recession at concern about the increase in prices because of his price policy to the possibility that he would ask for a third term constitutionally prohibited.

Be caught up by all our hour cover and further which broadcast on Sunday:

It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Bridget Bowman.

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