Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.
In today’s edition, we have our last results of survey on the opinions of Americans on the two political parties in the first months of the Trump administration. In addition, Kristen Welker establishes three things to monitor while the president approaches his brand of 100 days in power. And Lawrence Hurley answers this week’s reader’s question about the growing tensions between executive and judicial branches.
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– Adam Wollner
The Americans have broken down on the two political parties
The state of the two political parties is low, according to a new batch of survey results listening to NBC News powered by Surveymonkey – but for slightly different reasons.
Three months after Republicans with total Washington control, 44% of Americans see the GOP, while 55% consider it unfavorably, Bridget Bowman and Ben Kamisar report. The self -employed are largely responsible for the reduction of these figures, with only 30% of a favorable opinion on the Republican Party.
The image is even darker for the Democrats because they had trouble finding their way after the 2024 elections: the party is seen favorably by 40% of Americans and unfavorably by 60%.
The self -employed are slightly more positive towards the (36% favorable) democrats than the Republicans. Instead, the problem for the Democrats comes from the inside of the room, with 1 self -proclaimed democrats out of 5 (22%) which sees their party unfavorably. In comparison, only 13% of Republicans said the same thing about their party.
We saw it playing in practice at the start of the new administration. The Republicans were largely on the screen with Trump, who continues a program designed to call on his base. Meanwhile, Democrats have embarked on public debates on how to counter the most effectively Trump and what the party represents.
According to supporters, these dynamics say more say they are more faithful to a movement than a party. Among the self-identified Republicans, 56% considered themselves being more a supporter of the Mag of Trump than the GOP. The same number of democrats said they were more aligned on progressive causes than the Democratic Party.
Overall, the survey notes that a plurality of adults (38%) do not say that none of the political parties fight for people like them.
Exactly how all this will appear on the campaign path before the middle of 2026 and the presidential election of 2028 remains uncertain. As Bridget and Ben note, there have been recent evidence of an appetite for third -party options.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was sometimes interviewed two -digit during the 2024 race as an independent presidential candidate before finally disappearing and supporting Trump. And the mayor of Detroit, Mike Duggan, a former democrat, presents himself as an independent in what should be a race for a high -level and competitive Michigan governor.
Read more of the survey results β
Three big questions while Trump approaches 100 days in power
By Kristen Welker
President Donald Trump will reach the 100 -day score on his second term on Tuesday. His first months in power were marked by efforts to considerably reshape the federal government, increase the deportations of undocumented immigrants and impose radical rates on the countries of the world.
While we are approaching this step, here are three things that I will watch:
1. Trump can reverse his economic number?
Trump won a second mandate largely due to the bitter opinions of voters on the economy and concerns about high prices.
But several surveys have shown that voters are not satisfied with how the president addresses these questions. Our new NBC News remains Towned Poll Powered by Surveymonkey found 60% of Americans disapproving how Trump managed inflation, while 40% approve.
Meanwhile, there is an underway debate within the Republican Party over the duration of the duration of voters to give the president to return things to the economy, and how it could affect the mid-term elections next year.
2. Can Trump conclude agreements on trade and foreign policy?
Trump promised to put an end to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine during his first day in power, but war rages. The president said in A Time magazine interview that commitment was “an exaggeration”, but that he believes that he can stop war. He also expressed the optimism that he could conclude a nuclear agreement with Iran.
The president also suggested that his pricing policy would lead to a burst of commercial transactions. He told Time that these transactions would be announced “over the next three to four weeks”.
3. How will Trump travel the limits of his power?
The first months of the Trump administration also saw repeated clashes With the judiciary, raising questions about the president’s quantity of president to test the limits of her power.
Trump told Time that he would not challenge the Supreme Court. But the High Court judged that the administration had to facilitate the return of Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the man of Maryland was expelled by error towards El Salvador, which he did not do.
Trump also suggested that he was open to the expulsion of American citizens who commit crimes in foreign prisons, which indicates the time: “I would like to do so if it was allowed by law. We examine this.”
We are going to dive more on how voters feel about Trump’s presidency in “Meet the Press” on Sunday, where Steve Kornacki will decompose new data from our survey of NBC News. I will also speak exclusively with Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Senator Bernie Sanders, I-VT.
βοΈ Mailbag: Trump against the judiciary
Thank you to everyone who sent us an email! This week’s question comes from Kathy West:
“What are the possible consequences for the president if he ignores the decisions of the Supreme Court?”
To answer it, we turned to our journalist from the Supreme Court, Lawrence Hurley. Here is his answer:
This is a difficult question to answer because it would be a situation in which it is impossible to separate the law from politics.
The courts, including the Supreme Court, have only limited powers to ensure that their decisions are respected. As indicated frequently, including by Some in the world MagaThe Supreme Court has no army to enforce its decisions.
What the courts can do is try to hold representatives of the recalcitrant government in contempt, criminally or civilly. But as we have pointed outAlthough it gives the courts a little lever, there are limits.
Among other things, it is generally supposed that the president himself cannot be held in contempt. A secondary question is that the service of American marshals generally applies the orders of the court but, as a unit of the Ministry of Justice, is ultimately subject to the authority of the president.
All of them are reasons why non-compliance with justice decisions ultimately becomes a political question. First, a public pressure ferment could lead to a level of modification of the administration. If this does not work, then of course, the congress could hold the president directly responsible by dismissing him and withdrawing him from his functions.
ποΈ The best stories of today
- β‘οΈ Major climbing: The FBI arrested a Milwaukee county judge, alleging that she hampered the federal authorities who sought to hold an undocumented immigrant. He marks a significant escalation in the repression of the Trump administration against immigration. Learn more β
- βͺ Abrupt inversion: The Trump administration restores the legal status of international students who have had their files terminated in recent weeks. Learn more β
- π£οΈ Hang on: The behavior of the Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, has become “erratic” and it seems more and more “unsafe” of his work and his position in the administration, according to two familiar officials with the situation. Learn more β
- β οΈ Price warning: Retailers warn that American consumers could once again be faced with empty store shelves and the rumble types of the supply chain that marked the top era if Trump’s prices on China remain at their current levels. Learn more β
- π΄ You can get home: Senator Tommy Tuberville, R-Ala., Said the senators he plans to appear to the Governor of Alabama in 2026 rather than re-elect. Learn more β
- π³οΈ more on the environment: Illinois Governor JB Pritzker approved his Lieutenant Governor, Juliana Stratton, while heading for Senator Dick Durbin. Learn more β
- π΅ Leave the party: Floridaβs state minority head, Jason Pizzo said that “the Democratic Party in Florida is dead” because he changed his registration for voters in “no party affiliation”. Learn more β
- βοΈ elsewhere in Florida: Matt Dixon explores how controversies in relation to Medicaid funds and marijuana could complicate the potential race for Casey Desantis for the Governor. Learn more β
- π° Silver trees: In the wake of the information that Trump was planning to sign an executive action that directed the Attorney General Pam Bondi to investigate Actblue, donations on the Democratic fund collection platform increased. Learn more β
- βοΈ Santos Saga: A federal judge in New York sentenced the former representative George Santos to more than seven years in prison. Learn more β
- Follow the political coverage live on our blog β
It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner.
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