It seeks to be another active Atlantic hurricane season this year.
American forecasters expect an activity greater than normal in the next six months with up to five major storms.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) American has published its annual forecasts for the Atlantic and predicted a 60% chance of one season greater than normal, with 30% of a normal season.
According to the NOAA, the season will see a range of 13 to 19 storms in total named in which the winds will reach 39 miles per hour, or 62 kilometers per hour.
Among these tropical storms, it is expected that six to 10 will become hurricanes with winds of 74 miles per hour or more – approximately 119 kilometers per hour, with three to five major storms reaching category three or more.
The NOAA says that it has 70% confidence in these ranges.
“This prospect is a call for action: be ready,” said national director of the Noaa meteorological service, Ken Graham.
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“Take proactive steps now to make a plan and bring together supplies to make sure you are ready before a storm threatens.”
These figures comply with what researchers from Colorado State University, whose data is widely monitored, which provide 17 storm names, nine hurricanes and four reaching major status.
Although forecasts come from the American agency, Canadians could still be affected by powerful storms potentially on their way.
The remains of Hurricane Beryl, a category five storm, brought torrential precipitation in southern Ontario last July, with up to four inches also reported in parts of Montreal.
Sudden floods were also reported in Nova Scotia following the remaining humidity of the storm in the region.
Unlike last year, the NINA is no longer in force, but the NOAA researchers say that the average temperatures and forecasts of the ocean and the lower wind shear – which can disrupt storms – create favorable conditions for the more active season.
The agency also said that there was the potential for a change north of the West African monsoon, which can produce tropical waves which “go some of the strongest and longest storms”.
This year’s forecasts, however, is slightly lower than what was seen last year When the Nina was in force.
At that time, the NOAA provided an 85% chance of a season greater than normal with 17 to 25 storms named, eight to 13 hurricanes and four to seven reaching major status.
The hurricane season takes place from June 1 to November 30, the peak generally between mid-August and mid-October.
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