Canada is expected to see a warmer than normal summer with uncertain precipitation levels in most provinces, depending on the environment and Canada summer forecasts.
Jennifer Smith, warning meteorologist, said on Tuesday that Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Ontario and Northern Manitoba are particularly likely – 100% in some regions – to see a warmer summer, although the chances are also high for the rest of the country.
“There are some cooler places, especially along the Beaufort Sea in northwest Canada, but during all forecasts, lean around a warmer summer across the country,” said Smith.
Statistically, she said that the heat greater than the average can be biased by extreme short -term heat waves.
But in other cases, “it could be short spells or simply a subtle and coherent heat that pushes sufficient seasonal averages to push statistics.”
A hot spell at the start of the season has already led to several new temperature records in parts of Alberta and British Columbia in recent days.
In Lytton, British Columbia, Ravage Infire, the Mercury climbed at 39.3 ° C on Sunday, which makes it the warmest place in the country and breaking a record established two years ago.
Nanaimo on the island of Vancouver, with a temperature of 31.7 C and Pitt Meadows, where he reached 32.3 ° C on Sunday, both records broke in 1903.
Monday, in the city of Mountain Alberta, of Banff, the temperature of 27 C broke a record of 26.1 C established in 1918, while Pincher Creek, Alta. Hit 32 C, breaking the old brand of 29.4 C set in 1918.
While warmer than normal temperatures should continue for much of summer, Smith said that environmental modeling can not offer a reliable rain forecast.
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However, he said that a large part of Alberta, British Columbia and parts of Saskatchewan could see levels of precipitation lower than normal.
“Summer precipitation is difficult to predict because they are motivated by dispersed thunderstorms and local showers, which are difficult to predict months in advance,” she said.
“A single big precipitation event can move a seasonal total to more than normal, even if most days are dry.”
Bill Merryfield, a researcher at Environment Canada, told journalists the lack of spring rain, as well as potentially drier conditions in the future, means that all of Western Canada should be ripe for serious forest fires from next month.
Conditions should not aggravate until August, said Merryfield, most of the provinces west of Ontario which should reach levels “well higher than average” for the situations of gravity of the fire.
He said forecasts do not highlight the number of forest fires expected – but forecasts aim to illustrate the probability of a forest fire to become serious after he ignites.
“In summer, in summer, Canada was already experiencing a serious season of forest forest,” said Merryfield, adding to the end of last month, Canada saw the triple of the 10 years in terms of burnt area for this period of the year.
These forest fires at the start of the season caused the evacuation of thousands of people in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, where crews are fighting against dozens of fires in the two provinces.
The evacuations, although smaller, were also ordered in British Columbia, Alberta and north of Ontario.
On Monday, there were more than 80 active forest fires in British Columbia, with more than half listed as out of control.
Merryfield said that climate change induced by humans is a key influence on the temperature forecast warmer than normal, which then influences the expectation of the severity of forest fires.
“Canada’s average summer summer temperatures have warned about 1.8 degrees since 1948, about double global temperature warming during this period,” he said.
“This long -term warming trend is a major contributor to high forecasting probabilities of temperatures greater than normal across Canada.”
Health Canada claims that some of the best ways to stay away from heat are to reduce sun exposure as much as possible, stay hydrated and take fresh showers or baths.
– With Ken Macgillivray files, Global News
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