3 points to remember from the survey of the decision office NBC News: from the political bureau

Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.

In today’s edition, Scott Bland breaks down the main conclusions of the new NBC News decision -making survey. In addition, we have the latest updates to the Israel-Iran conflict and the filming of Minnesota.

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– Adam Wollner

3 take -out dishes of our new survey

By Scott Bland

The new NBC News Decision Desker Bureau propelled by Surveymonkey This weekend painted a living image of the presence of the presidency of Donald Trump at the moment – and where she is going in the near future. Here are three dishes to take figures.

There is a reason why the White House wants to focus on immigration, although it is always a division problem. Trump’s overall approval rating among American adults is 45% to approve, 55% disapprove – the same as in April. The survey has also tested opinions on how Trump manages a number of problems, with negative verdicts on all, except immigration and border security. (The survey was mainly carried out before Trump deploys the National Guard and the Los Angeles Marines in response to demonstrations against ice raids there.)

But while immigration is the place where Trump’s position is the strongest, the public is always divided on its management of the problem: 51% approve, 49% disapprove of. And other polls have shown great variations in these figures when people are questioned about immigration, border and deportations.

A republican fracture on priorities in the “big and beautiful bill”. When we broken down a question on Trump’s legislative agenda by partisan affiliation, one practice even a division stood out: 40% of Republicans said that their most important priority in the massive domestic bill reduced national debt, while 39% said that the pursuit and widening of Trump tax reductions was the most important.

This reflects the argument Performing among a handful of republican senators at the moment, this could be critical for the way in which the final bill meets.

Both parties get bad notes of honesty. Americans, especially the self -employed, have a weak vision of the honesty of politicians at the moment. And the grades are not particularly large even when people are considering their own party either. This is a great reason why we see a political instability, a division, an anti-tight feeling and a thirst for foreigners or new voices not only in the United States but in the elections of the world. And it is a key factor to keep in mind when approaching primaries in 2026 – and 2028.

Learn more about our survey:

How Trump went from strikes from Israel to Iran to reluctance support

By Courtney Kube, Gordon Lubold, Carol E. Lee and Katherine Doyle

President Donald Trump opposed an Israeli military action against Iran, promoting negotiations on bombing. But in the days preceding the start of strikes, he became convinced that the increased anxiety of Israel with regard to the nuclear enrichment capacities of Iran was justified.

After a pivot briefing by the president of the heads of joint staff, General of the Air Force Dan Caine, on the plans of Israel and the American options to support his operation, he gave the tacit approval to Israel to have him and decided to provide limited American support.

When Caine informed him on June 8, Trump was increasingly frustrated by Iran for not responding to the last nuclear agreement proposal. He always kept hope that his peace negotiator in the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, who had been planned for another cycle of peace talks in the region on Sunday, could soon obtain an agreement on the line.

Trump was also faced with private pressures of long -standing allies who recommend more isolated policies and wanted it to prevent Israel from taking military measures or at least retaining American support.

This story of Trump’s thought leading to the Israeli operation is based on interviews with five current American officials and two Middle East officials, as well as two people knowing the deliberations, two former American officials familiar with the deliberations and an ally of Trump.

Learn more →

Consider our last report on the Middle East conflict:

Suspect who terrorized Minnesota political leaders after the arrest of mortal shots

By Dennis Romero

The suspect wanted in the murder of a minnesota legislator and her husband, as well as in the shooting of a state senator and his wife, was found on Sunday evening armed and crawling in an area in a little populated section of Minnesota, the authorities announced.

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz announced Vance Boelter’s capture at a press conference after declaring on Saturday that the suspect’s alleged crimes included a “politically motivated assassination.” Although he was armed, the authorities said, Boelter was placed in police custody without incident and no injury has been reported.

“After a two -day man hunt, two sleepless nights, the police have apprehended” the alleged shooter, “said Walz.

“This cannot be the norm. It cannot be the way we manage our political differences,” he added.

Boelter is in police custody and is now faced with state and federal accusations in the context of Saturday murder of the Democratic representative of the state of Minnesota, Melissa Hortman, and her husband, Mark, and the state senator John Hoffman and his wife, Yvette Hoffman, announced the authorities.

Learn more →

Consider our latest reports on the shooting of Minnesota:

It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Dylan EBS.

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