The leaders of the GOP of the Senate face expenses on the great bill of Trump: from the political bureau

Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.

Happy Monday and welcome to our first June edition! The Senate is back this week and will start the process of taking charge of the “big and beautiful bill” that the Chamber has adopted. Sahil Kapur breaks down the challenges facing the GOP leaders while trying to send the legislation to the office of President Donald Trump by July 4. In addition, Scott Bland searches in the archives for a quote from the 2016 campaign campaign of a republican who provides a guide to the Democrats today.

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– Adam Wollner

The leaders of the GOP of the Senate are faced with expenses on the great bill of Trump

By Sahil Kapur

The legislation adopted by the Chamber for the interior agenda of President Donald Trump is Move to the SenateWhere the majority leader John Thune, RS.D., is faced with the pressure of opposite party factions on how to modify it.

Expenses and debt: Some Republicans say they want higher expense reductions to compensate for the increase in debt due to tax loss and financing bumps for the application of immigration and the military. This includes Senator Rand Paul, R-Ky., And Senator Ron Johnson, R-Wis., Both said they could not support the bill in its current form because it adds about 2.3 billions of dollars to debt.

“It’s bad. It’s immoral. He must stop,” said Johnson on Fox News. “My loyalty is towards the American people, towards my children and my grandchildren. We cannot continue to mortgage their future. ”

Medicaid: On the other hand, Thune must navigate the concerns and political considerations of senators on the reductions in existing expenditure in the legislation – in particular on the financing of Medicaid, Snap and Clean.

Senator Susan Collins, R-Maine, voted for the initial budget plan of the Senate to start working on the bill, but later opposed a revised version, citing concerns that this could have an impact on its voters who count on the coverage of Medicaid.

Collins is re -elect in 2026, with meaning. Thom Tillis, RN.C., and Joni Ernst, R-Iowa. All are likely to face attacks by democrats about the more strict burden for Americans to stay in the health care program.

And at least one solid ally of a red state is warned against the return of Medicaid. “I have concerns,” said Senator Josh Hawley, R-MO., Journalists said. “I continue to maintain my position; We should not reduce the advantages of Medicaid. ”

Hawley especially told NBC News Last month, he agreed with “coverage losses” resulting from work requirements and anti-fraud measures. He can therefore finally understand the bill, because Trump and the Republican leaders depict the provisions of Medicaid as measures to integrate the program, instead of cuts to cancel the coverage.

Be that as it may, Hawley’s vocal support for preserving the benefits of Medicaid creates a potential terrestrial mine for republicans to maneuver, which makes the cup more difficult than the bill of the chamber if they want more savings to appease the hawks of expenses.

Clean energy: As part of the prudence of expenses, Senator Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, says that there is a faction of GOP senators who oppose the “termination” of clean energy tax credits adopted by the Democrats in 2022, which Republican leaders have set up to finance their bill.

Get technique: And there is a procedural obstacle that you should navigate: the so-called “Byrd Bath”. The rules of the Senate limit the bills within the framework of the process of “reconciliation” – which the Republicans use here to circumvent democrats in the Senate – to budgetary measures which mainly concern dollars and hundred, and not the changes in policy. Democrats are preparing to challenge a multitude of provisions in the package.

In the end, the margin of three votes for the defection can give Thune the breathing room he needs to adopt the bill. But any change that the Senate needs to return to the House for another thin majority of the paper.

And Thune is in terms of time, as the Treasury Department said that the Congress must adopt an increase in the debt ceiling – which is part of the wider package – at the latest in July in order to prevent a catastrophic defect.

Until now, the GoP deadlines have all been vague. But it is real.

Read related: Thune says that the Senate on the right track to pass Gop Megabill before July 4by Frank Thorp V

A key lesson that Democrats can learn from candidate 2016 Marco Rubio

Scott Bland analysis

The Democrats are in regrouped mode after having lost the 2024 elections, very aware of the weak position of the party with the American public and reflecting on everything, of their political platform to Where and how they talk to voters – like the $ 20 million land reported by the New York Times For a research project entitled “Talking with American men: a strategic plan”.

No more power for them, if someone wants to finance it. And the Democrats desperately want to do something to go ahead right now.

They might want to consider advice a long time ago of a Marco Rubio on what really matters to the viability of a political party – and why it could take atrocious time to get there.

When Rubio – Currently the Secretary of State of President Donald Trump – was president in August 2015, he gave a premonitory answer to the questions on the rhetoric of Donald Trump then on immigration. Questioned by CNBC if Trump and others spoke of immigrants harm the republican party in the 2016 general elections, Rubio said: “It is not the republican party. These are individual candidates who are responsible for their own rhetoric and what they say “, adding:” The face of the republican party will be our candidate. “

Rubio struck a similar theme a few days later, Talk to Bloomberg News In New Hampshire: “In the end, the Republican Party will contact all the voters according to who is our candidate. And I do not believe that Donald Trump will be our candidate.”

Do not be distracted by the thing that is certainly large that Rubio was wrong. The broader point is that American political parties are shaped and defined by their candidates.

The biggest and best thing that the Democratic Party can do to change the perceptions of voters itself is to appoint a national candidate that voters see more favorably. The party cannot simply erase the difficulties of former president Joe Biden and the loss of the former vice -president Kamala Harris against Trump – especially among the slices of democrats fed up on their own party at the moment, A great contributor to these record survey numbers. It’s just glued to the Democratic brand at the moment.

Of course, Democrats will not appoint another presidential candidate for about three years. It may be why some are impatience to start this competition earlier Rather than later. Even the official appointment of the next list of contenders for the Congress or the Party Senate is a year.

It is not surprising that research and investment efforts receive a lot of attention – on the long way to repair a festive brand, this is what is available at the moment.

It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Ben Kamisar.

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