Gaza’s ceasefire is dead-Israeli domestic policy killed her

The ceasefire in Gaza seems to be finished.

And while Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has sought to blame Hamas for the resumption of fighting killed more than 400 Palestinians March 18, 2025 – “Only the start“Warned Netanyahu – the truth is that the seeds of renewed violence are in Israeli domestic policy.

Since the first phase of the ceasefire entered into force in January, experts in Israeli policy- I myself included – reported a probable insurmountable problem. And it is the execution of the second phase of the plan – which, if it was implemented, would see Total withdrawal of Israeli military forces of the Gaza Strip in exchange for the release of the remaining hostages – is a Non-starter for extreme right elements In the Israeli leader coalition on which Netanyahu relies for his political survival.

The withdrawal of the Gaza strip goes against the Maximalist ideologies Key members of the Netanyahu government, including some in its own party, Likoud. On the contrary, their position indicated is for Israel to keep control of the enclave and push as many Palestinians as possible outside. That’s why Many in the Netanyahu government have applauded When President Donald Trump said Palestinians should be authorized in Gaza to make way for a Massive reconstruction project led by the United States.

Inasmuch as Expert in Israeli history and professor of peace studiesI believe that the far-right vision of Gaza post-conflict shared by certain parts of the Netanyahu government is incompatible with the ceasefire plan. But more and more, he seems to ring with the Views of some in the American administration – which, as de facto sponsor of the ceasefirePerhaps was the only entity that could have maintained the Israeli government on its conditions.

Efforts to transform the judiciary

It’s real Hamas is Responsible for delays and manipulations During the first phase of the ceasefire agreement. He too transformed in hostage of propaganda spectraturning both families of captives and a large part of Israeli society in the process.

But in my opinion, the resumption of war is first and foremost linked to the Israeli domestic currents which are previous October 7, 2023, attack This has triggered the deadliest fighting between Israelis and Palestinians since the 1948 war. He can be traced in Netanyahu efforts to transform the political system in Israel and Increase the power of executive and legislative branches while Weakening the judiciary.

Since coming to power in January 2023, Netanyahu’s right -wing government has made significant efforts to transform independent institutions such as the Office of the Attorney General and the Police in Compliant Arms of the Government by Seeking to place the Loyalists of the Government in charge of both.

Prolong the war

In 2023, a Sustained and massive protest movement Netanyahu slows down tries to revise the country’s judiciary.

And then came the massacre of Hamas on October 7.

Many Israeli commentators hoped that the attack would force the government to reconsider its efforts to carry out what some have described as a legal coup, in a national unity show.

But Netanyahu and her government had other plans.

After a Initial hostage offer In November 2023, did not give a wider breakthrough, people gradually started wondering if Netanyahu’s main interest had to prolong the war in the belief that it could be the Best way to save your political career and relaunch of his assault against the judiciary.

Such a view has solid foundations. Having been charged in November 2019 on violation of confidence, fraud and corruption costsNetanyahu had the opportunity to blur the logic of the longtime legal proceedings: he could be judged by Hardy while defending a nation at war. The accusation is still underway, but the resumption of fighting, once again, meant that Netanyahu Reason to delay testimony.

Meanwhile, War also offers a cover in Netanyahu to neutralize some of its fiercest criticisms. In the months after the October 7 attack, Netanyahu systematically deleted Antagonistic members of the Office of Security and Political Leadership, accusing them of being responsible either for the attack on Hamas or for the mismanagement of the conflict.

This purge of anti-nestanyahu elements in Israel has increased in recent months, with Netanyahu and its allies Seeking to replace the Attorney General Gali BAHARAV-MIARA And Ronen fire barthe head of the powerful Shabak security agency, or Shin Bet, who made Sensitive surveys in the closest employees of Netanyahu.

Stifle the coalition

The apparent rupture of the ceasefire now also coincides with increasing pressure on Netanyahu of the political right in its power coalition.

Under Israeli law, the government must approve its annual budget At the end of March or with a dissolved face, something that would trigger new elections.

But Netanyahu is Faced with holduts among ultra-ortoDoxes Parties on the issue of army projects. Since the start of the war, there has been enormous pressure from the wider Israeli public end the exemption project For ultra-Orthodox men, which unlike other Israelis did not have to serve in the army. The ultra-Orthodox parts, however, require the opposite: adopt legislation This would officially free them from military service.

To guarantee the vote for the annual budget and contest the elections, Netanyahu needs support – and if this will not come from ultra -Orthodox parties, he must consolidate the far -right members of the coalition.

Following the resumption of war, Otzma Yehudit – the far -right party which left the government of Netanyahu in January to protest against the cease -fire agreement – A returned to the fold. This gives Netanyahu crucial budgetary votes. But indeed, he points out that the coalition does not intend to implement the second phase of the ceasefire plan, withdrawing from Gaza. Indeed, he killed the ceasefire.

Israel’s domestic policy is not to be blamed for the resumption of fights. There is also the changing position of the American administration.

The transition from the presidency of Joe Biden to Donald Trump was a decisive reason for the calendar of the cease-fire agreement in January 2025.

But it seems that the administration hesitates to force Netanyahu to continue the second phase. Trump’s recent statements suggest that he will maintain additional military pressure on Hamas in Gaza. And at Blame hassas For the resumption of war, Trump tacitly approves the position of the Israeli government.

Hamas, in fact, has the most interest in implementing the agreement. This would give the Palestinian militant group the best chance he has to remain in control of Gaza, while boasting that he had been responsible for the release of thousands of Palestinian prisoners from Israeli prisons.

Protests are growing

The majority of Israelis are in favor of putting an end to warFinish the ceasefire agreement and Resigning from Netanyahu.

And the antigolanmental protest movement again gains steam as we see in Generalized protests in Israeli cities Against the resumption of battles in Gaza and the attempt to avoid the head of security Ronen Bar.

Since the people and the government of Israel seem to be drawn in opposite directions, the resumption of bombing in Gaza can only have the internal crisis which preceded the war and has reflected and flowed since.

But Netanyahu has apparently bet that more war is her best chance of staying in power and ending her plan to transform the country’s political system. Israel faces an unprecedented situation in which I would say that his own Prime Minister has become the greatest threat to the country’s stability.